Our new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl predictions from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting
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No one can forecast the future but at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to give it its best shot. With up to date news and a small but lively 14 Billion criterion design, forum.pinoo.com.tr our AI is boldly forecasting the unpredictable. Join us as we attempt to answer humankind's most difficult concerns.
Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, just as two years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain numerous pressing concerns that are less easy to pin down. Our business, Lightning arrester Labs, has actually been mining questions from locations like polymarket.com and training a big language design to be better at forecasting the future (and have actually seen some intriguing improvements - term paper incoming). Today we turned its cold, calculating eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion criterion design which is really on the smaller side. (Some quotes recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION specifications and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from many months back so we have developed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we offer the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unidentified area to make its best forecast possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We postured the following questions to our AI and determined its action. While we have seen prediction improvements from our training, utilize these price quotes for prop betting at your own peril.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% possibility
And so it seems this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock strong, but a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposition ...
First, I'll take a look at the essential points from the short articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor because 2023. He's a huge football star, and she's been helpful of his profession, attending his video games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even invited her loved ones to the Super Bowl, showing her commitment.
Some fans are thrilled, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically provided comments Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has actually caused some Swifties to question how suitable Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship private and not addressing the speculation straight.
I believe the crucial points are the speculation and his incredibly elusive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the chances and his reactions recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd approximate a low possibility, maybe around 5%, thinking about all aspects.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the extremely bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% chance
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" relocation, hikvisiondb.webcam now its just a various front-tush being pushed. Will an AI understand what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it consider that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's similar attempts? Appears like our AI believes they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this video game.
Alright, I'm attempting to figure out the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I require to comprehend just what a "tush-push" is. From the articles, it appears like it's a technique where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to press off defenders. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and technique.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to perform the relocation. The post points out that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this technique, which is pretty high. ... I likewise need to consider the defensive methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs are mindful of the Eagles' "tush-push" technique, they might change their defense accordingly, which might either increase or decrease the variety of times the Eagles use it.
Considering that more than five appears like a significant number however possible offered their self-confidence, I would estimate a probability around 60-70% possibility. This accounts for their preparation, self-confidence in the technique, and the probability that they'll utilize it numerous times, specifically if it's efficient early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime program efficiency?
AI Final Prediction: 65% chance
While our AI might not be like us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling back and forth, but in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a fight.
From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement throughout a previous halftime show when Trump existed in 2018. That appears substantial since it shows he's done it in the past, higgledy-piggledy.xyz so possibly he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more recent posts, it points out that Lamar is moving away from political declarations and focusing more on individual expression. That could mean he's less likely to resolve Trump this time.
However, he's also associated with a fight with Drake, which may offer him reasons to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal concerns surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a libel fit from Drake, so perhaps he bewares about including any questionable tunes in the efficiency. But since he won the Grammys for that track, he might still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile event, Lamar might feel compelled to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to prevent political statements throughout the halftime show, so there's a threat that such content might be restricted or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making bold relocations on huge phases. He's the first solo rap act to headline the halftime show, which may offer him more creative flexibility. Plus, his previous habits suggests he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public efficiencies.
But I also keep in mind reading that Lamar expressed tiredness about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could suggest he's less inspired to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's focusing on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, existing shifts in focus, legal concerns, and the event's context-the probability seems to be reasonably high, maybe around 65%.
Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the very bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% possibility
Lets be honest, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the truth that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its prediction? Looks like theres rather of a possibility that if the chiefs taste victory, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't suggest to cause offense which he really found it humorous himself. Reid seemed to take it in stride, which might suggest he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.
Taking a look at the articles, it mentions that Andy Reid is a food and loves cheeseburgers. There's a short article particularly about his love for food, which suggests that he's a person who delights in eating, particularly with his team. So, if there were plans to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would partake in a cheeseburger, particularly if the situation is on screen for an event.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility
"Tails never ever fails?" You can't deceive the machines !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been predicting the coin toss and 53% are forecasting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially financially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be fooled and thinks anything can occur when that coin goes in the air.
Okay, so I'm trying to figure out the probability that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, however there's some historical data that might influence this forecast.
First, I check out through the short articles offered. They all point out the historical statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has actually turned up more often than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a minor edge, but it's not a huge distinction.
However, I bear in mind that the outcome of a coin toss is usually considered random. The small historical edge for tails could be due to possibility. But when making predictions, sometimes individuals weigh historic data even if it's not statistically considerable. So, I must consider whether this historic predisposition needs to affect the likelihood.
After considering it, I decide that while the historical data reveals a small preference for tails, it's not statistically considerable sufficient to move the likelihood away from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the possibility, acknowledging that the slight historical edge exists however doesn't bypass the fact that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.
Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% chance
We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I guarantee we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely think the very same. BUT, its official now because our AI says the possibilities are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still kind of high when it pertains to fraud on a national scale). Looks like the Chiefs will have to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm attempting to find out the likelihood that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite major allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of short articles that speak about conspiracy theories recommending referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some doubtful employ recent video games, particularly the AFC Championship Game. That does seem to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get frustrated when their team loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.
But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and oke.zone the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "preposterous" and "ludicrous." They say there's no proof of organized bias. That's a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it may indicate there's no genuine basis or they would have resolved it in a different way if there was some truth to it.
Taking a look at the posts, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also mentioned that statistical analysis does not show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For circumstances, Mike Pereira from FOX said data reveals the Chiefs have been penalized more considering that 2022. That's interesting since if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate fewer charges, right?
...
So, putting it all together, the probability that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably very low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't dismiss every possibility, however extremely unlikely.
Summary
There you have it everybody, is it even worth watching the video game still? I think I'll have to wait and see how the game turns out before we release this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for an excellent game! And hey, if it turns out our AI was incorrect about everything, a minimum of it can gain from this.
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Our new Deepseek based AI Says
Armando Le Grand edited this page 9 months ago